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Brexiteers Have the Edge in Tory Race to Replace BoJo, Says Academic_我的网站

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A | 1月7日下午，泰缅边境失联演员王星的女友嘉嘉更新动态称，与中国驻曼谷大使馆工作人员电话沟通后获知，他们正与警方积极交涉，以推动救援进展，并承诺若得到最新消息后将第一时间与其同步，目前还需耐心等待。

B | Europhile Conservative MPs have poor prospects in the race already underway to replace Prime Minister Boris Johnson, according to a British academic.,With BoJo making a slow-motion exit from Downing Street, ministers and backbenchers alike are throwing their hats into the ring for the dual role of party leader and PM.,Johnson announced his resignation as Tory leader on Thursday — pre-empting mooted moves to cut the 'grace period' following an unsuccessful no-confidence vote, which he narrowly survived in June. The famous 'BoJo mojo' was finally overcome by the scandal over Deputy Chief Whip Chris Pincher drunkenly groping two men at an exclusive private member's club.,Each candidate to replace BoJo needs the nomination of at least eight fellow Tory MPs. Hot tips so far include Johnson loyalists Foreign Secretary Liz Truss and Defence Secretary Ben Wallace, along with Junior Trade Policy Minister Penny Mordaunt — who surprised some by not joining the wave of protest resignations from government — and Rishi Sunak, who led the revolt by quitting as chancellor.,Alistair Jones, associate professor of politics at Leicester's De Montfort University, told Sputnik that the leadership contest to replace the "figurehead" Johnson was still up in the air.,"The situation is going to be very interesting in British politics as we will look to see how many Conservative MPs want to stand to become the party leader and ultimately Prime Minister," he says.,“Now, within the Cabinet, we will see the likes of Liz Truss, [and Home Secretary] Priti Patel putting their names forward, also most likely [Deputy PM] Dominic Raab. Outside of the Cabinet, former minister Michael Gove will also probably put his name forward and then there'll be some other outsiders who are not in the government, such as Penny Mordaunt and Steve Baker.”,But strident remainer and anti-Russia war hawk Tom Tugendhat, chairman of the Commons Foreign Affairs Committee, was fastest out of the traps with five nominations under his belt already.,Professor Jones says that Mordaunt and Steve Baker, who is the deputy chairman of the anti-lockdown COVID Recovery Group and former chairman of the pro-Brexit European Research Group, are the ones to watch.,"Both of them are ardent Brexiteers and it is likely to be an ardent Brexiteer that is going to be elected as leader of the Conservative Party," he points out.,Steve Baker sets out why he would make a good Prime Minister, saying he is very popular with Conservative Home members and he's been told he's popular with the public.Piers challenges him that he might have to "acknowledge reality".@piersmorgan | #PiersMorganUncensored pic.twitter.com/e9qWS1Ae2k— Piers Morgan Uncensored (@PiersUncensored) July 7, 2022,The Eurosceptic underdogs may overtake heavyweights like Jeremy Hunt, the former foreign secretary who was runner-up to Johnson in the 2019 leadership contest to replace Theresa May.,"Jeremy Hunt, someone that people would like to see possibly elected as party leader as a safe pair of hands because he wasn't a Brexiteer, is not likely to go far," Jones says. "So the question will be how much infighting there is going to be within the Conservative Party until they get a leader elected, and then the extent to which that leader is able to unify the party.",BoJo’s Resignation: How Will Johnson’s Successor Be Picked?11:03 GMT,The academic stresses that leadership contests are always extremely polarizing. "You either support candidate number one or candidate number two when you get to the last two and quite often the two do not see eye to eye," he says.,"There could be an awful hangover for the Conservative Party after this leadership election," Jones warns. "The question will be the extent to which Boris Johnson's legacy is a divided party, and that stays with the party until the next general election" — which might not be until January 2025.。此前据泰媒消息，在湄索边境附近发现了中国演员王星，省警察第6区正在那里等待将其接回。泰国警方称，王星是被缅甸边防部队（BGF）拘留，缅甸方与泰国当局协调后，7日中午过后就送回泰国。自1月5日晚嘉嘉发帖求助后，王星的下落持续引发众多关注。

C | 随着多方部门推进，王星很快被找到，其最新照片显示他头发已经剃掉、腿上有红斑。

D | 与此同时，围绕事件还有诸多疑问待解。疑问一：王星是如何被骗过去的？骗局涉事方有哪些？据嘉嘉介绍，王星是从某演员资源群看到招聘组讯，添加演员统筹后视频试戏通过。出发前，王星曾因对拍摄信息及地点存疑而想退组，但被剧组副导演“颜十六”反馈已经太临时换不了人。

E | 1月3日凌晨，王星飞往曼谷，当天上午在前往开机仪式的途中失联。

F | 嘉嘉曾分析，王星此次决定进组是有考虑到现在演员行业接戏很难，他英文口语好希望能拓展海外机会，并有长期合作。而王星看到的该组讯，是打着泰国格莱美公司的名头。

G | 1月7日上午，泰国格莱美公司发布声明，否认公司与演员王星失联事件有关，“想澄清最近有关冒充本公司欺骗中国演员星星的消息，本公司与此事没有任何关系。”声明还称，艺人和演员选拔过程是透明的，严格遵守既定的程序。“我们不会通过私人渠道联系任何个人，也不会要求任何申请人支付任何费用。”此外，据大河报报道，有知情人透露，与王星对接的副导演“颜十六”曾在横店工作，当过武术指导，在横店向多名合作者借过钱多年不还，一月前曾邀请朋友前往泰国拍戏称“能多挣钱”。

H | 疑问二：王星被剃头发、身上有红斑，是否遭遇虐待？失联地究竟在哪里？据嘉嘉发布动态，王星失联前不久发给她的定位已位于泰缅边境湄索县，而该地正临近妙瓦底。

I | 媒体报道介绍，妙瓦底是缅甸与泰国接壤的一个城镇，位于缅甸东部克伦邦。妙瓦底地区是一个比“缅北地区”更加恐怖的“电诈聚点”，具有上百个诈骗园区，曾经多次涉及电信诈骗案件。那王星是否进入了妙瓦底电诈园区？据红星新闻援引泰国在线新闻7HD报道，1月7日，泰国达府警方指挥官证实，已经在缅甸境内找到了失联中国男演员王星。报道还称，根据线报已经到了缅甸，也到了灰产控制区内。此外，泰国方还与缅甸妙瓦底边境检查站联系，要求协调核实星星的行踪，但对方还没有答复。

J | 另据封面新闻报道，王星弟弟王秦曾于6日下午和王星本人通过视频电话，王星“精神上看着不太好”。据泰媒公布照片，被找到的王星剃了头发，腿上有红斑，穿着一身白色运动服。

K | 疑问三：为何泰国警方称王星是被缅甸边防部队拘留？据泰国媒体1月7日报道，泰国移民局发言人透露，星星确实于1月3日通过曼谷素万那普机场进入泰国，但离开时未通过检查站，因此出境系统中没有任何信息。预计他是通过自然通道被带走的，因此，达府湄索县边境检查站前的AH-1公路是星星最后出现的位置。泰国警方发言人当日表示，王星从素万那普机场直接前往达府，司机是警方认定的本案唯一证人。

L | 发言人称，没有证据表明王某受到胁迫或殴打，或是人口贩运的受害者。其同时表示，警方尚不清楚演员王星是否通过官方边境检查站前往缅甸。另据红星新闻报道，对于王星“自愿前往”等言论，嘉嘉称，“我们没有过这样的言论，星星那边应该也暂时没有办法接受到审讯或是采访，应该是当地警方根据目前的监控证据所以说是自愿，可能是（上车监控）没有发生绑他或是其他一些动作。”△ 王星上车监控视频。据泰国电视台疑问四：王星受骗背后，是否有成型的诈骗链条？在王星失联一事引起关注的同时，还有多名演员分享类似遭遇。此外12月初，泰国当地的文华律师事务所也曾接到一名被以拍戏为由被骗至湄索（泰缅边境）的中国男演员的委托。据红星新闻，一名正在协助家属找王星的东南亚华人介绍，王星及演员徐大久等人所遭遇的套路，只是缅甸电诈园区“高薪骗局”的变形，主要目标是普通演员、网红等群体，“（被骗者）比较单纯，又急于找机会”。另据文华律师事务所刘经理接受媒体采访时介绍，目前当地诈骗形式多种多样，诈骗对象已从以前的劳工转到专业人群，如演员、工程师等，以高薪为诱饵诈骗。这种以拍戏为由的诈骗是一种广撒网模式，“就是看能够捞多少‘鱼’，有的话就上钩；没有的话，可能就会把这条线放掉。”据中国驻清迈总领馆最新消息，该馆高度重视，积极协调泰国六区警署、达府移民局、湄索警察局快速、妥善解决中国籍男演员在泰缅边境失联案件。1月7日下午，达府移民局告该馆，该局已接到当事人，目前正在按规定进行相关询问工作。目前，嘉嘉称自己和王星弟弟还未能与王星见面，“在未见到本人之前不敢有任何松懈”。潇湘晨报记者吴陈幸子综合报道报料、维权通道：应用市场下载“晨视频”客户端，搜索“报料”一键直达；或微信添加报料客服：xxcbcsp；或拨打热线0731-85571188。